Slap-happy Cats escape Mason thanks to unlikely shot

The Big East is still undefeated — now 35-0 — but the team picked to win the league nearly became the first to lose on Thursday afternoon. Nearly everything went wrong in the first 38 minutes for Villanova, but the final two were all right in the Wildcats’ 69-68 victory over George Mason in the Puerto Rico Tip-off.

 

Two freshmen, Maalik Wayns and Isaiah Armwood, hit 3-pointers in the last two possessions to bring Villanova back from a late five-point deficit with 1:42 to play. The basket was Armwood’s first of his career, and it came after he was forced into action thanks to severe foul trouble for Villanova’s frontcourt.

 

The fouls were the main thing that made this game a strange one.

 

Poss PPP eFG Turn Reb FTR
George Mason 70 0.97 0.436 0.200 0.242 0.574
Villanova 70 0.99 0.434 0.243 0.452 0.434

 

Those free-throw rates are borderline absurd. The two teams combined for 54 fouls committed. Nine players accumulated at least four fouls, including the four Villanova Wildcats who fouled out. Among those four were Antonio Pena, Taylor King and Maurice Sutton or, in other words, all the height in Villanova’s rotation since freshman Mouphtaou Yarou was sent back to Philly with a viral infection. Read More »


Predicting many future events in one large analysis

Feel free to jump to the conference of your choice by clicking on one of the links below:

 

ACC
Big 12
Big East
Big Ten
Pac-10
SEC
Mid-Majors

 

With the first games that count coming up on Monday night, I figured I’d get my predictions in for all the major conferences and a few select mid-majors. Here are the conference-by-conference predictions with projected league record and postseason fate. It’ll be another four-plus months before I find out how wrong I am — sooner than that with some teams. Though I don’t officially make Final Four and Sweet 16 picks, you can infer them from the seedings.

 

ACC

 

Duke (predicted conference record 11-5; possessions returned — 63.8 percent*): There are concerns at point guard, but they were there last year as well, and while Jon Scheyer isn’t a natural at the position, he’s good enough to get by considering his talent and that of those surrounding him. The loss of Elliott Williams does hurt, but the combination of Scheyer and Kyle Singler plus emerging youngsters should keep Duke at or near the top of the ACC. NCAA No. 2 seed. Read More »


Missouri’s the Tiger with more growl, plus the rest of the Tourney

Not much time to wax today, but I did want to put electronic pen to paper before Friday’s games and the Elite Eight. I’ll breakdown all of Thursday’s games and give a glimpse at Friday and Saturday’s matchups herein.

 

West Region: In my West Region preview, I noted two keys to the Missouri-Memphis game — Memphis’ turnovers and Missouri’s 2-point shooting. Memphis had 14 turnovers, probably a couple more than John Calipari would have liked but nothing out of the norm — Antonio Anderson did duplicate his six-turnover performance from the win over Cal State-Northridge. The other key — Missouri’s 2-point shooting — was the difference. The Tigers hit 58.7 percent of their 2-point attempts, including far too many layups with several difficult 18-footers mixed in. Read More »


Moment of truth in Boston for Big East, Pitt

This year, the Big East received the largest number of high seeds in tournament history, along with accompanying expected win totals and pressure. As Brendon pointed out in his recent column, the Big East could send two teams to the Final Four and three others to the Sweet 16 and still fall more than two shy of its 16.38 expected win total. As the only remaining region with two Big East teams still alive, the East regional will go a long way in deciding whether or not the Big East is able to meet or even exceed these expectations.
How the conferences stack up so far

 

Conference Wins Exp Wins Seeds Left
ACC 5 10.88 1, 2
Big East 11 16.38 1, 1, 1, 3, 3
Big Ten 6 7.18 2, 5
Big 12 9 8.18 2, 3, 3
Pac-10 6 5.99 12
SEC 1 1.5 None

Read More »


Louisville’s defense imposes will over Villanova in semis

NEW YORK — Fans and members of the media like to construct a basketball team’s character around its ability to play defense. Good defensive teams “try harder,” have “more heart” and “want it more” than their opponents. That may be true in hackneyed leads and on messageboard threads, but, on a basketball floor, defense is built on talent and coaching just as much if not more than offense is.

 

There isn’t a team more talented or coached better defensively than Louisville, and the Cards proved it again in a 69-55 win over Villanova in Friday’s first Big East Tournament semifinal at Madison Square Garden. Read More »


Harangody’s last stand as successful as Custer’s

While fawning over how well Notre Dame had been playing entering Monday’s game with Villanova and making excuses for the Irish’s poor record, national college basketball pundits have been avoiding one salient fact — they’re not very good. That under-developed point should have been driven home once again as Villanova dominated the second half and knocked ND out of any realistic at-large hopes in a 77-60 victory.

 

It may not be in good form to toot my own horn, but I’ve been writing this all year — there are too many types of teams that give the Irish trouble for them to ever have been considered elite. Teams with tall frontlines can neutralize the shorter Luke Harangody. Teams with explosive, penetrating guards give the slower Notre Dame defenders fits, and teams with strong defensive guards help to stymie a player like Kyle McAlarney. Even if a team has just one of these elements, it can hang with the Irish. If it has more than one — see Washington State, Villanova, Marquette, Connecticut — then Notre Dame is in big trouble. Read More »