Overlooked Hall has NCAAs within sights

A 2-6 stretch from mid-December to mid-January took Seton Hall off many NCAA Tournament radars, but the Pirates are proving that they are good enough to compete for a berth. With two straight wins, SHU is back to 3-4 in conference, and the schedule lightens up — a little — from here on out. In my preseason projections, I picked Seton Hall to make the NCAA Tournament, and there’s no reason to back off that now, even if it might be as the eighth or ninth Big East team in the field.

 

Right now, the Pirates are just on the outside looking in — fifth out based on my at-large prediction model, but here are some reasons why Seton Hall is good enough to hear its name called on March 14.

 

Depth: Coach Bobby Gonzalez always had kids who could play and play hard, he just never had enough of them. This season, he has 10 guys whom he’s comfortable playing at various times, and a solid eight-man rotation that could change depending on the opponent. The addition of three transfers — Herb Pope, Jeff Robinson and Keon Lawrence — and two freshmen — Jamel Jackson and Ferrakohn Hall — has allowed Gonzalez to keep his best players healthy and rested. That has helped Seton Hall down the stretch of games and should help down the stretch of this season. Read More »


Seton Hall’s rebounding improvement must continue vs. Cuse

The schedule-makers did Seton Hall no favors with Big East openers against West Virginia and Syracuse. On Saturday at the Prudential Center in Newark, Bobby Gonzalez’s Pirates pushed undefeated West Virginia to overtime with a last-minute surge before succumbing, 90-84. It will take an equally strong effort to defeat also-undefeated Syracuse on Tuesday night.

 

Despite the loss to the Mountaineers, there was plenty of good news for Seton Hall fans based on the performance, news that should boost hopes at a big upset on Tuesday. The biggest bit of optimism stems from Seton Hall’s ability to hold its own — and thensome — on the glass against WVU.

 

The Pirates have been exploited on the defensive backboard during Gonzalez’s entire tenure thanks to a lack of size and frontcourt depth. But with Herb Pope, Jeff Robinson and John Garcia as a starting frontline, the Pirates can actually play three real frontcourt players at once. While it’s true that guards Jordan Theodore and Jamel Jackson both played more than Robinson and Garcia on Saturday, the 89 minutes that Seton Hall got out of the starting frontcourt plus Ferrakohn Hall meant that the Pirates actually matched up with the long, athletic Mountaineers. Holding West Virginia, an exceptional offensive-rebounding team to just a 28.6 percent rate on that glass is borderline phenomenol. WVU is fourth in the nation in offensive-rebounding rate at 43.3 percent. Read More »


Big East WIR: Pirates, Panthers avoid embarrassing defeats

In sum: It wasn’t always pretty, but the Big East emerged from the season’s first week unscathed with a 17-0 record. Seton Hall and Pittsburgh both narrowly escaped home losses on Friday night, while Providence nearly blew a 19-point lead in defeating Mercer on Sunday. All in all, it’s a good start for a league that figures to go through some growing pains in the pre-conference schedule.

 

Team of the week: South Florida. The opening win was a departure from the Bulls’ typical pre-conference play. For once, the offense was actually good.

 

Poss PPP eFG Turn Reb FTR
USF 63 1.06 0.55 0.21 0.26 0.32
SMU 63 0.97 0.47 0.19 0.29 0.21

 

The Bulls have not been a good shooting team for a while, but the difference in eFG was, basically, the margin of victory. Augustus Gilchrist’s 8-for-12, including a 3-pointer, was a big reason why the shooting efficiency was better. Chris Howard’s 6-for-6 from inside didn’t hurt either. We’ll learn a lot more about the Bulls in the week ahead. Read More »


Transfer Lawrence does Gonzo no favors

There’s some bad news for my pick to surprise in the Big East: Seton Hall transfer guard Keon Lawrence is in trouble with the law and, reportedly, suspended indefinitely. It’s impossible to speculate how long Lawrence will be out, but it’s instructive to look at the potential impact of his absence.

 

First, Seton Hall can much more afford to lose Lawrence, a guard, then, say, Herb Pope, a forward. With Eugene Harvey, Jamel Jackson and Jordan Theodore — along with Jeremy Hazell on the wing — Seton Hall has some depth in the backcourt. At Missouri, Lawrence was primarily a good perimeter shooter who could nab a steal, and while Bobby Gonzalez could certainly use his scoring punch, his loss shouldn’t be crippling.

 

Second, it does seem like Gonzo is fated to never have depth, as he’s struggled with short rotations during his tenure, and, now that he thought he had some depth in the backcourt, this happens. Without Lawrence, the Pirates will be very thin again.

 

Third, if Lawrence does return at some point, then he may miss only the non-conference slate. Seton Hall does have a very friendly non-conference schedule. Here are the tricky games:

 

at Cornell (Nov. 20)
UMass (Dec. 7)
Temple (Dec. 19)

 

The conference schedule starts off with West Virginia and Syracuse at home before one last non-conference game — and the toughest one — vs. Virginia Tech in Cancun on Jan. 2. Looking further, it is a brutal start to the conference schedule for SHU. After returning from Cancun, the Pirates travel to Connecticut, then host Cincinnati before heading to Georgetown and hosting Louisville.

 

It’s unclear now whether Lawrence will ever wear a Seton Hall jersey in a game that matters, and he has only his poor decision-making to blame. As it is, he’s put his team in a difficult spot but not one that the Pirates cannot overcome, even if Lawrence doesn’t see the floor for a single minute this winter.


Predicting many future events in one large analysis

Feel free to jump to the conference of your choice by clicking on one of the links below:

 

ACC
Big 12
Big East
Big Ten
Pac-10
SEC
Mid-Majors

 

With the first games that count coming up on Monday night, I figured I’d get my predictions in for all the major conferences and a few select mid-majors. Here are the conference-by-conference predictions with projected league record and postseason fate. It’ll be another four-plus months before I find out how wrong I am — sooner than that with some teams. Though I don’t officially make Final Four and Sweet 16 picks, you can infer them from the seedings.

 

ACC

 

Duke (predicted conference record 11-5; possessions returned — 63.8 percent*): There are concerns at point guard, but they were there last year as well, and while Jon Scheyer isn’t a natural at the position, he’s good enough to get by considering his talent and that of those surrounding him. The loss of Elliott Williams does hurt, but the combination of Scheyer and Kyle Singler plus emerging youngsters should keep Duke at or near the top of the ACC. NCAA No. 2 seed. Read More »


Syracuse fights past Seton Hall, gets UConn next in quarters

NEW YORK — In three of the last four Big East Tournaments, Syracuse has sent Connecticut home. In 2005, 2006 and 2007, the Huskies were left wanting in the face of one of their arch rivals. And, in what should be one of the hottest Big East quarterfinals tickets ever, Syracuse and Connecticut go at it again on Thursday night at 9:30 p.m. at Madison Square Garden.

 

UConn gets to the quarterfinals without having to play a game by virtue of that 15-3 Big East record, which secured the No. 3 seed and the coveted double-bye for Jim Calhoun’s team. Syracuse, on the other hand, had to literally fight its way to Thursday night, pulling away from a tough Seton Hall team after a couple of second-half fracases. Read More »


Field Trip: Taking in an overtime thriller in Newark

There’s nothing quite like heading to New Jersey on a January Thursday night. The good news is that there have been far frostier nights recent weeks than greeted me after stepping off the PATH in Newark to watch Seton Hall host Providence at the nearly new Prudential Center. The matchup was featured in BaselineStats.com’s Games to Watch, so I heeded my own advice and watched, in person. It was a good choice — Providence’s 98-93 overtime win was worth the trip. Read More »